Charts of the Day: Is Ted Cruz in 1st or 4th Place in Iowa?

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Here is a test for you. Which of these polls of the Iowa caucuses do you believe?

The Pollster average of recent polls still shows Trump with a big lead over Cruz in Iowa. The latest Monmouth poll shows Cruz with a big lead. Is Monmouth an outlier? Or an indication of a recent big surge by Cruz that hasn’t shown up in the averages yet? Place your bets.

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Fact:

Today, reader support makes up about two-thirds of our budget, allows us to dig deep on stories that matter, and lets us keep our reporting free for everyone. If you value what you get from Mother Jones, please join us with a tax-deductible donation today so we can keep on doing the type of journalism 2022 demands.

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